The political landscape of Rivers State, a historical battleground for high-stakes power struggles, is once again at the center of a national conversation. The upcoming local government elections, rather than being a typical partisan affair, have unveiled a stunning and unprecedented political coalition between the state chapters of the All Progressives Congress (APC) and the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). This development, which sees the APC fielding candidates in 21 of the 23 local government areas and the PDP in just two, is a testament to the evolving dynamics of Nigerian politics and the growing influence of the presidency under Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
The consensus list of candidates is a fascinating document. While the PDP, the ruling party in Rivers State, would ordinarily be expected to dominate, the list tells a different story. The APC's near-total control of the nominations, even with a PDP governor at the helm, suggests a profound shift in power. This is not a merger of parties in the traditional sense, but a strategic alignment of political interests, orchestrated from the highest echelons of power. It is an undeniable demonstration of President Tinubu's political dexterity and his ability to transcend party lines to achieve a desired outcome.
The list of consensus candidates is as follows:
APC Candidates (21)
Abua/Odual - Engr. Owolobi Ofori
Andoni - Prince Promise Otuo Lucky
Ogu/Bolo - Nemieboka Vincent
Okrika - Hon Akuro Tobin
Gokana - Confidence Nyima Dekor
Khana - Bariere Thomas
Tai - Mbakpone Friday Okpe
Eleme - Obarilomate Ollor
Oyigbo - Okechukwu Akara Nwaogu
Degema - Michael John Williams
Asari-Toru - George Onengiyeofori
Ahoada-East - Solomon Abuba
Ahoada-West - Eugene Epelle
Ikwerre - Charles Wobodo
Etche - Chima Njoku
Emohua - Dr. Chidi Lloyd
Opobo-Nkoro - James A. James
Akuku-Toru - Aboiya-a Bob-Fubara
Bonny - Abinye Blessing Pepple
Omuma - Obasi Uchechukwu Nnabuike
Port Harcourt - Allwell Ihunda
PDP Candidates (2)
Ogba/Egbema/Andoni - Shedrack Chukwu Ogbogu
Obio/Akpor - Dr. Gift Worlu
The lopsided nature of this arrangement is a clear indicator that the political heavyweights in Rivers State have aligned their interests with the federal power structure. It also raises crucial questions about the future of Nigerian politics.
Actually, the Rivers State coalition is being widely interpreted as a masterclass in political maneuvering, with President Tinubu as the grand strategist. This is not the first time he has demonstrated a remarkable ability to navigate complex political terrain and secure a strategic advantage. His political moves, often perceived as unpredictable and unconventional, have consistently yielded results.
This latest development begs the question: is there any state in Nigeria where the sitting governor, regardless of party, is still operating outside the political interests of President Tinubu? The Rivers State scenario suggests that the answer may be a resounding "no." The presidency's ability to forge an alliance that effectively sidelines a sitting state government's party, even in a politically volatile state like Rivers, indicates a centralization of power and influence that is reshaping the political landscape. Governors are increasingly finding it prudent to align with the federal government, lest they become isolated and politically vulnerable.
Nevertheless, the Rivers State political coalition has far-reaching implications, particularly for the opposition and the broader political architecture of the country.
First, the ability of President Tinubu to co-opt key political figures from the opposition, as seen in the Rivers State arrangement, casts a shadow on the effectiveness of new alliances like the African Democratic Congress (ADC). While the ADC may be a platform for some opposition figures, the Rivers example shows that a determined presidency can undermine such a coalition by strategically reaching into its ranks and neutralizing its influence at the state level. The reliance on such an alliance, therefore, may be fraught with risk.
Also, this political maneuver in Rivers State is a preview of what could be a dominant strategy leading up to the 2027 presidential election. President Tinubu's administration is demonstrating its capacity to build bridges and forge strategic partnerships across the political divide, potentially weakening the opposition from within. By securing the support of influential politicians in key states, he is laying the groundwork for a formidable re-election bid. The opposition will need to find a way to counter this strategy, which prioritizes pragmatism and power-sharing over rigid party loyalty.
Noticeably, the Rivers accord is a powerful message to all political stakeholders, particularly those who are not currently aligned with the president. It is a clear demonstration that political survival and relevance in the new dispensation may depend on a willingness to engage and compromise with the federal government. It suggests that a confrontational approach may be less effective than a collaborative one. For those in the opposition, this presents a significant dilemma: maintain ideological purity and risk being marginalized, or embrace political pragmatism to secure a seat at the table.
Above all, the Rivers State local government election has become a microcosm of the new power politics in Nigeria. It is a striking example of how political interests can trump party lines, and how a savvy presidency can shape the political narrative at the grassroots level. This "Rivers Accord" is not just a local story; it is a blueprint for the future of Nigerian politics, and it is a stark reminder that the game has fundamentally changed.