Mindful Thought: Inside El-rufai's Plot to Unseat Tinubu in 2027 Just days after his high-profile defection from the All Progressives Congress (APC) to the Social Democratic Party (SDP), former Kaduna State Governor Nasir El-Rufai is generating controversy as a central figure in the opposition’s strategy to prevent President Bola Tinubu from securing a second term in 2027, according to political analysts.
Protests and Internal SDP Dynamics
On Wednesday, El-Rufai’s supporters staged a dramatic protest at the SDP’s national headquarters in Abuja, demanding the ouster of National Secretary Dr. Olu Agunloye. The protesters, wielding placards, implicated Agunloye of fraud, referencing his ongoing trial over an alleged $6 billion Mambilla power project scam. The demonstration prompted Agunloye to seek police protection through a petition to the Inspector General of Police.
Sources familiar with the situation put forward that El-Rufai’s allies are concerned about Agunloye’s past ties to Tinubu and his South-West origin, viewing his position as a potential barricade in their mission to unseat a president from the same region.
Tinubu’s Alleged SDP Connection
Political observers in Abuja have intensified eyebrows over unverified claims that Tinubu may have preempted El-Rufai’s move by establishing persuade within the SDP. Reports from 2022 advocated the SDP was Tinubu’s “Plan B” if he had failed to secure the APC presidential ticket. While these claims abide speculative, they fuel suspicions of strategic maneuvering ahead of 2027.
A Fractured Past with Tinubu
El-Rufai’s fallout with Tinubu marks a dramatic shift from their association during the 2022 APC primaries, where El-Rufai played a pivotal role in protesting northern governors to endorse Tinubu’s candidacy. Analysts attribute the severance to Tinubu’s associates seeking retribution for El-Rufai’s earlier criticisms, containing his 2019 remarks advising Lagos politicians to walk in the shoes of his overcome of political godfathers in Kaduna.
The relative position soured further when the Senate denied El-Rufai’s ministerial nomination, citing an undisclosed “security issue” from the Department of State Services (DSS). A senator, speaking anonymously to Sunday Vanguard, illuminated that no formal DSS disclosure was circulated, exacerbating questions about the legitimacy of the repudiation. El-Rufai is reportedly considering legal action to compel Senate President Godswill Akpabio to produce the alleged security revelation, among allegations that Tinubu orchestrated his exception.
El-Rufai’s 2027 Strategy
Sources within the repugnance corroborate that El-Rufai is not eyeing an elective position in 2027 even so is instead focused on mobilizing a broad coalition to derail Tinubu’s re-election. “His score is to send Tinubu and his allies back to Lagos,” a prominent associate of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, who contested against Tinubu in 2023, stated.
El-Rufai’s organizational prowess, protested during the 2022 APC primaries, gives him a strategic edge. He is reportedly maintaining close ties with several northern governors, leveraging his lobby to build foil momentum. Notably, El-Rufai appears to be warming to Peter Obi, the Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, despite previously undermining him. His son Bashir recently tweeted about being misled by the APC regarding Obi’s qualities, signaling a potential shift in alliances.
SDP’s Role in the Opposition Coalition
While El-Rufai’s defection has spotlighted the SDP, doubts persist about its viability as the opposition’s final platform. Adewole Adebayo, the SDP’s 2023 presidential candidate, has reiterated his intent to run again in 2027, underlining internal divisions. “Everyone uniting the party knows I will run in 2027,” Adebayo said in a recent television interview, underscoring potential friction within the foil coalition.
Opposition sources downplay the significance of the SDP as the ultimate vehicle, highlighting that the focus is on solidity rather than specific parties or personalities.
What Lies Ahead
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While his organizational skills and northern persuade make him a formidable player, the opposition’s success will hinge on its ability to amalgamate disparate factions and navigate internal rivalries. As Tinubu blends power within the APC, the road to 2027 promises to be the contentious one, with El-Rufai’s next moves closely watched by allies and adversaries alike.
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Tag: Mindful Thought Inside Elrufais Plot to ulUnseat Tinubu in 2027
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Published 3/16/2025